Post by Astros GM (G-funk) on Feb 19, 2018 11:40:06 GMT -6
Previous: 300,000 (2017)
New Offer: 9,500,000 (2020)(2021TO)
It's a little hard to nail down Keuchel's exact value. He could win the Cy or he could have a 4.55 ERA and look like crap. He's not a strikeout guy and he's dealt with injuries the last two years. The comps don't justify a 10+ salary. To hit that threshold, you need a three year average around 90 and Keuchel isn't particularly close to that by either score. Tanaka and Zimmerman are decent comps at $9. I'll go a little higher with Keuchel due to that huge 2015 season.
Scores taken from "Players" section
Chris Sale - 2017 - 13,500,000 88.25 90.29 89.02 Avg - 89.19
Clayton Kershaw - 2014 - 13,500,000 95.68 93.17 98.45 Avg - 95.77
Madison Bumgarner - 2016 - 13,500,000 95.91 96.35 90.01 Avg - 94.09
Stephen Strasburg - 2016 - 11,500,000 76.30 91.64 81.50 Avg - 83.15
Jon Lester - 2017 - 11,000,000 89.62 86.61 94.58 Avg - 90.27
Felix Hernandez - 2015 - 11,000,000 94.42 88.55 91.32 Avg - 91.43
David Price - 2015 - 10,000,000 94.32 79.91 98.56 Avg - 90.93
Dallas Keuchel - 2018 - 9,500,000 - 83.84 70.07 98.17 Avg - 84.03
Masahiro Tanaka - 2015 - 9,000,000 79.63 Japan Japan Avg - 79.63
Jordan Zimmerman - 2015 - 9,000,000 90.16 93.25 83.90 Avg - 89.10
Justin Verlander - 2016 - 8,500,000 66.95 83.75 89.06 Avg - 79.92
Carlos Carrasco - 2016 - 8,250,000 88.85 75.27 22.80 Avg - 62.31
Chris Tillman - 2015 - 8,000,000 84.75 89.13 57.62 Avg - 77.17
Scores taken from Player Card
Chris Sale - 2017 - 13,500,000 87 88 89 Avg - 88.00
Clayton Kershaw - 2014 - 13,500,000 96 93 99 Avg - 96.00
Madison Bumgarner - 2016 - 13,500,000 94 95 90 Avg - 93.00
Stephen Strasburg - 2016 - 11,500,000 77 90 83 Avg - 83.33
Jon Lester - 2017 - 11,000,000 89 84 93 Avg - 88.67
Felix Hernandez - 2015 - 11,000,000 93 89 90 Avg - 90.67
David Price - 2015 - 10,000,000 92 80 98 Avg - 90.00
Dallas Keuchel - 2018 - 9,500,000 - 85 45 97 Avg - 75.67
Masahiro Tanaka - 2015 - 9,000,000 82 Japan Japan Avg - 82.00
Jordan Zimmerman - 2015 - 9,000,000 89 93 83 Avg - 88.33
Justin Verlander - 2016 - 8,500,000 68 43 70 Avg - 60.33
Carlos Carrasco - 2016 - 8,250,000 86 78 11 Avg - 58.33
Chris Tillman - 2015 - 8,000,000 79 82 67 Avg - 76.00
*Scores are from 3 seasons prior to resign year
New Offer: 9,500,000 (2020)(2021TO)
It's a little hard to nail down Keuchel's exact value. He could win the Cy or he could have a 4.55 ERA and look like crap. He's not a strikeout guy and he's dealt with injuries the last two years. The comps don't justify a 10+ salary. To hit that threshold, you need a three year average around 90 and Keuchel isn't particularly close to that by either score. Tanaka and Zimmerman are decent comps at $9. I'll go a little higher with Keuchel due to that huge 2015 season.
Scores taken from "Players" section
Chris Sale - 2017 - 13,500,000 88.25 90.29 89.02 Avg - 89.19
Clayton Kershaw - 2014 - 13,500,000 95.68 93.17 98.45 Avg - 95.77
Madison Bumgarner - 2016 - 13,500,000 95.91 96.35 90.01 Avg - 94.09
Stephen Strasburg - 2016 - 11,500,000 76.30 91.64 81.50 Avg - 83.15
Jon Lester - 2017 - 11,000,000 89.62 86.61 94.58 Avg - 90.27
Felix Hernandez - 2015 - 11,000,000 94.42 88.55 91.32 Avg - 91.43
David Price - 2015 - 10,000,000 94.32 79.91 98.56 Avg - 90.93
Dallas Keuchel - 2018 - 9,500,000 - 83.84 70.07 98.17 Avg - 84.03
Masahiro Tanaka - 2015 - 9,000,000 79.63 Japan Japan Avg - 79.63
Jordan Zimmerman - 2015 - 9,000,000 90.16 93.25 83.90 Avg - 89.10
Justin Verlander - 2016 - 8,500,000 66.95 83.75 89.06 Avg - 79.92
Carlos Carrasco - 2016 - 8,250,000 88.85 75.27 22.80 Avg - 62.31
Chris Tillman - 2015 - 8,000,000 84.75 89.13 57.62 Avg - 77.17
Scores taken from Player Card
Chris Sale - 2017 - 13,500,000 87 88 89 Avg - 88.00
Clayton Kershaw - 2014 - 13,500,000 96 93 99 Avg - 96.00
Madison Bumgarner - 2016 - 13,500,000 94 95 90 Avg - 93.00
Stephen Strasburg - 2016 - 11,500,000 77 90 83 Avg - 83.33
Jon Lester - 2017 - 11,000,000 89 84 93 Avg - 88.67
Felix Hernandez - 2015 - 11,000,000 93 89 90 Avg - 90.67
David Price - 2015 - 10,000,000 92 80 98 Avg - 90.00
Dallas Keuchel - 2018 - 9,500,000 - 85 45 97 Avg - 75.67
Masahiro Tanaka - 2015 - 9,000,000 82 Japan Japan Avg - 82.00
Jordan Zimmerman - 2015 - 9,000,000 89 93 83 Avg - 88.33
Justin Verlander - 2016 - 8,500,000 68 43 70 Avg - 60.33
Carlos Carrasco - 2016 - 8,250,000 86 78 11 Avg - 58.33
Chris Tillman - 2015 - 8,000,000 79 82 67 Avg - 76.00
*Scores are from 3 seasons prior to resign year